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Luke Musgrave

Luke Musgrave Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Luke Musgrave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • The Bears pass defense has been torched for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (86%) vs. tight ends this year (86.0%).
  • The Bears linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the league this year when it comes to pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Green Bay Packers to pass on 53.9% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Packers to call the 3rd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

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