My Account Log Out
 
 
Luke Musgrave

Luke Musgrave Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Luke Musgrave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears pass defense has been torched for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (86%) vs. tight ends this year (86.0%).
  • The Bears linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the league this year when it comes to pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Green Bay Packers to pass on 53.9% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Packers to call the 9th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 64.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™