My Account Log Out
 
 
Luke Musgrave

Luke Musgrave Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Luke Musgrave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • While Luke Musgrave has been responsible for 5.3% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Green Bay's passing attack in this contest at 12.0%.
  • Luke Musgrave checks in as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among tight ends, completing an outstanding 87.3% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 75th percentile.
  • The Minnesota Vikings safeties rank as the 7th-worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The projections expect the Green Bay Packers to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the 6th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Packers.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Vikings defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™