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Luke Musgrave

Luke Musgrave Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Luke Musgrave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+107/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally lead to increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.
  • The Steelers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (41.0 per game) this year.
  • The Steelers defense has conceded the 4th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (66.0) to tight ends this year.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has shown weak efficiency versus TEs this year, yielding 9.14 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in the NFL.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's unit has been lousy this year, grading out as the 7th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the predictive model to run only 61.4 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Luke Musgrave grades out as one of the bottom TE receiving threats this year, averaging a lowly 10.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 17th percentile when it comes to TEs.

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