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Luke Musgrave

Luke Musgrave Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Green Bay Packers vs Washington Commanders

Luke Musgrave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may slide.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Packers ranks as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season.

The Washington Commanders pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, giving up an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a running game script.

The predictive model expects the Packers to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Packers have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.0 plays per game.

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Washington Commanders, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.0 per game) since the start of last season.

With a weak 6.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (7th percentile) since the start of last season, Luke Musgrave places among the bottom pass-catching tight ends in the NFL.

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