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Luke Musgrave Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Luke Musgrave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

After accumulating 9.0 air yards per game last season, Luke Musgrave has posted big gains this season, currently pacing 16.0 per game.

Luke Musgrave's 15.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 9.6.

Luke Musgrave's 16.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year marks a meaningful growth in his pass-catching talent over last year's 6.0 rate.

The Chicago Bears pass defense has allowed the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (81%) versus tight ends this year (81.0%).

When it comes to linebackers pass-rushing, Chicago's unit has been lousy this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the model to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

With a weak 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) this year, Luke Musgrave stands as one of the leading TEs in the pass game in the NFL in space.

More Luke Musgrave Player Props

Luke Musgrave Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Luke Musgrave Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16