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Luke Musgrave

Luke Musgrave Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Luke Musgrave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
  • Luke Musgrave's 13.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season marks a noteworthy gain in his pass-catching skills over last season's 6.0 figure.
  • This year, the weak Denver Broncos defense has allowed a colossal 63.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 6th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Green Bay Packers.
  • With a weak 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) this year, Luke Musgrave places as one of the leading pass-game tight ends in the league in the open field.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has yielded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (70%) versus TEs this year (70.0%).
  • As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Denver's collection of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 10th-best in football.

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