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Luke Musgrave

Luke Musgrave Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Luke Musgrave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears pass defense has been torched for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (86%) vs. tight ends this year (86.0%).
  • The Chicago Bears pass defense has shown weak efficiency vs. tight ends this year, surrendering 8.20 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-most in football.
  • The Bears linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the league this year when it comes to pass rush.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Green Bay Packers to pass on 53.9% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Packers to call the 9th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 64.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Luke Musgrave checks in as one of the bottom tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a lowly 12.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 19th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • With a poor 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) this year, Luke Musgrave places as one of the best tight ends in the pass game in the league in the open field.

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