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Luke Musgrave Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

Luke Musgrave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-112/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

While Luke Musgrave has been responsible for 5.3% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Green Bay's passing attack in this contest at 12.0%.

Luke Musgrave checks in as one of the most reliable receivers in the NFL among tight ends, completing an outstanding 87.3% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 75th percentile.

The Minnesota Vikings safeties rank as the 7th-worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

The projections expect the Green Bay Packers to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

At the present time, the 6th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Packers.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Vikings defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.

With a poor 12.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (25th percentile) this year, Luke Musgrave ranks among the bottom TEs in the pass game in the NFL.

More Luke Musgrave Player Props

Luke Musgrave Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

Luke Musgrave Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12