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Luke Musgrave

Luke Musgrave Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

Luke Musgrave Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 9th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Lions defense last year: 4th-most in the league.

In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers profiles as the 6th-best in football last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Packers are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 62.1 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.

The 5th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Green Bay Packers last year (just 55.7 per game on average).

With a poor 6.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (7th percentile) last year, Luke Musgrave rates among the bottom tight ends in the pass game in football.

The Lions pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.6%) versus tight ends last year (68.6%).

The Detroit Lions pass defense has performed very well when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.14 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 3rd-fewest in football.

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