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Luke Farrell

Luke Farrell Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Luke Farrell Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1100/-2600).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1350 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +1100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the 49ers being a -6-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Luke Farrell's 92.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a noteable improvement in his receiving proficiency over last year's 69.1% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the 49ers to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Luke Farrell has totaled a paltry 2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 17th percentile among tight ends.
  • Luke Farrell rates in just the 22nd percentile for tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) with a weak 4.2 mark this year.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the lowest level in the NFL vs. the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year (64.3% Adjusted Completion%).

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