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Luke Farrell

Luke Farrell Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

San Francisco 49ers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Luke Farrell Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1900/-3700).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2400 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -3700.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Luke Farrell's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 69.1% to 100.0%.
  • This year, the deficient Panthers pass defense has surrendered a monstrous 82.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the biggest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line implies a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 54.4% of their chances: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the 49ers to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • When it comes to air yards, Luke Farrell ranks in the paltry 21st percentile among TEs this year, accruing just 2.0 per game.
  • Opposing offenses have run for the most TDs in the league (1.18 per game) against the Carolina Panthers defense this year.

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