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Luke Farrell

Luke Farrell Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Luke Farrell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers will be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are predicted by the projections to run 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 55.5% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • With a meager 1.2 adjusted catches per game (24th percentile) since the start of last season, Luke Farrell ranks as one of the weakest pass-catching tight ends in the NFL.
  • The Arizona Cardinals linebackers rank as the best unit in football since the start of last season when it comes to pass rush.

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