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Luke Farrell Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears

Luke Farrell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-190/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -185 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -190.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Luke Farrell's 92.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this season signifies a noteable improvement in his receiving ability over last season's 69.1% mark.

This year, the deficient Bears pass defense has been gouged for a massive 81.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 2nd-highest rate in football.

The Chicago Bears linebackers grade out as the worst unit in the NFL this year with their pass rush.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.

Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the 49ers.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.

Luke Farrell's 4.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the worst in the NFL: 25th percentile for TEs.

With a puny 1.0 adjusted catches per game (13th percentile) this year, Luke Farrell has been among the weakest tight ends in the pass game in the NFL.

More Luke Farrell Player Props

Luke Farrell ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 17

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears

Luke Farrell Receptions
Player Prop Week 17