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Luke Farrell

Luke Farrell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Luke Farrell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers will be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are predicted by the projections to run 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 55.5% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Luke Farrell grades out as one of the weakest TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a mere 7.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 7th percentile among TEs.
  • With a lackluster 4.4 adjusted yards per target (17th percentile) since the start of last season, Luke Farrell rates as one of the worst TE receiving threats in the league.
  • Luke Farrell rates as one of the weakest TEs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 24th percentile.
  • The Cardinals pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against tight ends since the start of last season, allowing 6.84 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-fewest in the league.

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