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Luke Farrell

Luke Farrell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

New Orleans Saints vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Luke Farrell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-113/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones.
  • The model projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Saints defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (34.1 per game) since the start of last season.
  • Since the start of last season, the feeble New Orleans Saints defense has yielded the 5th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing TEs: a staggering 8.74 yards.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the 49ers to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The 10th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the San Francisco 49ers since the start of last season (a mere 56.3 per game on average).
  • With an extraordinary 17.3% Route% (22nd percentile) since the start of last season, Luke Farrell has been among the tight ends with the most usage in football.
  • Luke Farrell ranks as one of the worst pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 6.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 7th percentile among tight ends.

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