Logan Thomas Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

My Account Log Out

reorder

Logan Thomas

NFL · Player Props

Logan Thomas

TE · Washington Commanders

Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 15, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Logan Thomas Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+188/-250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -204 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -250.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Commanders will be starting backup QB Taylor Heinicke in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Commanders are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run on the slate this week at 132.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Washington Commanders have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.7 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the least pass-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.8% pass rate.
Logan Thomas has been used less as a potential target this year (61.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (82.5%).
The Washington Commanders O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Logan Thomas's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 72.2% to 58.2%.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in football (61.4%) vs. tight ends this year (61.4%).

More Logan Thomas Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow