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Logan Thomas

Logan Thomas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Logan Thomas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Washington Commanders to pass on 62.8% of their plays: the 2nd-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 3rd-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.41 seconds per play.
  • With an extraordinary 75.6% Route Participation% (87th percentile) this year, Logan Thomas stands among the TEs with the most usage in the NFL.
  • Our trusted projections expect Logan Thomas to accrue 4.7 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.
  • The Jets pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (68.6%) to tight ends this year (68.6%).
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New York's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

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