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Lil'Jordan Humphrey Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

Lil'Jordan Humphrey Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1950/-2200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2400 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (60.0% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Denver Broncos.

The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

After averaging 16.0 air yards per game last year, Lil'Jordan Humphrey has made big progress this year, now averaging 37.0 per game.

The Broncos offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

The Washington Commanders pass defense has been gouged for the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (69.3%) versus wide receivers this year (69.3%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6-point advantage, the Broncos are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their usual approach.

While Lil'Jordan Humphrey has received 12.5% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much smaller part of Denver's offense near the goal line in this contest at 2.4%.

With an atrocious ratio of only 0.06 per game through the air (22nd percentile), Lil'Jordan Humphrey places among the bottom receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to wideouts since the start of last season.

More Lil'Jordan Humphrey Player Props

Lil'Jordan Humphrey TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

Lil'Jordan Humphrey Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13