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Lil'Jordan Humphrey

Lil'Jordan Humphrey Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Lil'Jordan Humphrey Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -143.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are giant underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of an emphasis on passing than their normal approach.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to have 135.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
  • The New York Giants have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 61.2 plays per game.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Giants profiles as the 4th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the New York Giants as the 10th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (61.7%) to wideouts this year (61.7%).
  • The Broncos safeties profile as the 9th-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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