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Lil'Jordan Humphrey

Lil'Jordan Humphrey Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Lil'Jordan Humphrey Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-161/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -161.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to call the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Broncos have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.5 plays per game.
  • The Denver offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • This year, the weak Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has conceded a monstrous 67.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 6th-largest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are a massive 13.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The projections expect the Broncos to be the 11th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Chiefs, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.
  • Lil'Jordan Humphrey's 65.4% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a noteworthy decline in his receiving skills over last season's 71.4% figure.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Kansas City's group of CBs has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in football.

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