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Lil'Jordan Humphrey

Lil'Jordan Humphrey Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Lil'Jordan Humphrey Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-230/+175).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Broncos to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 10th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are anticipated by the projection model to call 68.1 plays on offense in this game: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Broncos have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 59.4 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: most in the league.
  • When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Broncos grades out as the 4th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Broncos being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Lil'Jordan Humphrey's 67.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a meaningful decrease in his receiving ability over last year's 71.4% mark.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62.4%) versus WRs this year (62.4%).
  • The Jaguars linebackers profile as the best LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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