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Lil'Jordan Humphrey

Lil'Jordan Humphrey Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Lil'Jordan Humphrey Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+109/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Broncos may throw the ball less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling with backup QB Jarrett Stidham.
  • The Broncos are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.2% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • After accumulating 16.0 air yards per game last year, Lil'Jordan Humphrey has seen a big uptick this year, currently averaging 32.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game against the Patriots defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • Lil'Jordan Humphrey's 59.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year conveys a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year's 71.4% figure.
  • Lil'Jordan Humphrey's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season signifies a noteworthy decrease in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 6.1% mark.
  • The New England Patriots defense has allowed the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 114.0) versus wideouts this year.
  • As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, New England's LB corps has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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