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Leonard Fournette
NFL · Player Props
Leonard Fournette
RB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Rushing TD
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 10, 2022 Updated Nov 13, 2022 5:26 PM UTC
NFL Props Leonard Fournette Rushing TD

Leonard Fournette Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+141/-194).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -190 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -194.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 63.1 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 9th-most TDs in football (1.11 per game) against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defensive ends profile as the 8th-worst collection of DEs in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have gone no-huddle on 12.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-most in the league). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the least run-oriented team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 31.8% red zone run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects Leonard Fournette to be a much smaller part of his offense's run game near the goal line this week (60.2% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (81.0% in games he has played).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box against opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
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