Laviska Shenault Jr. Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Laviska Shenault Jr.

NFL · Player Props

Laviska Shenault Jr.

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving TD

Carolina Panthers vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 16, 2022 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Laviska Shenault Jr. Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+438/-1002).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -981 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1002.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
Laviska Shenault's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% increasing from 66.1% to 87.2%.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has surrendered the 4th-most touchdowns through the air in football to wideouts: 1.15 per game this year.
The Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks rank as the 6th-worst collection of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Carolina Panthers have been faced with a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Panthers are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.78 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 53.9 plays per game.
Laviska Shenault has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (-3.0 per game) than he did last season (34.0 per game).
Laviska Shenault's 15.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 37.1.

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