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Latavius Murray
NFL · Player Props
Latavius Murray
RB · Denver Broncos
Rushing Yards
Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 14, 2022 Updated Dec 12, 2022 4:01 AM UTC
NFL Props Latavius Murray Rushing Yards

Latavius Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 46.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Latavius Murray to garner 14.5 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
  • Latavius Murray has been a much bigger part of his team's rushing attack this year (53.6% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (33.5%).
  • Latavius Murray has rushed for quite a few more yards per game (48.0) this season than he did last season (37.0).
  • The Kansas City Chiefs defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst unit in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Favors Under
  • The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.2% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • The Broncos are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 8th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 37.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Latavius Murray's rushing effectiveness (3.72 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (15th percentile among RBs).
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 6th-least yards in the league (just 107 per game) versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year.
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