Latavius Murray Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Latavius Murray

NFL · Player Props

Latavius Murray

RB · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Latavius Murray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The Broncos are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
The Denver Broncos have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.1 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
Latavius Murray has been on the field for 47.3% of his offense's snaps this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to call the 4th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Latavius Murray has posted a measly -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 7th percentile among RBs.
Latavius Murray has accrued substantially fewer receiving yards per game (1.0) this season than he did last season (6.0).
The Baltimore Ravens safeties project as the 10th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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