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Latavius Murray

Latavius Murray Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tennessee Titans vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Latavius Murray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.1% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 43.2 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in football.
  • The Tennessee Titans pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Completion% in football (86.5%) vs. running backs this year (86.5%).
  • The Denver Broncos O-line has given their QB 2.68 seconds before the pass (6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • The Tennessee Titans defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Latavius Murray has notched a measly -3.0 air yards per game this year: just 8th percentile among running backs.
  • Latavius Murray has been among the worst pass-catching RBs this year, averaging a mere 4.0 yards per game while ranking in the 14th percentile among RBs.
  • Latavius Murray has been among the least effective pass-catchers in the NFL among running backs, averaging a measly 2.69 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 11th percentile.
  • The Tennessee Titans pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. RBs this year, allowing 5.18 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-least in the NFL.

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