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Lamar Jackson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Baltimore Ravens vs Chicago Bears

Lamar Jackson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+260/-295).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +270 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +260.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Ravens to run the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The predictive model expects Lamar Jackson to be a much smaller part of his offense's running game near the goal line in this week's game (21.7% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (28.6% in games he has played).

Lamar Jackson's 70.9% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a substantial improvement in his throwing accuracy over last year's 67.6% mark.

Lamar Jackson has been among the leading touchdown passers in football this year, averaging an exceptional 2.00 per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 5th-highest clip in the league against the Bears defense this year (76.5% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a running game script.

The model projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 2nd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 51.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

At the present time, the 6th-most run-centric offense in the league near the end zone (47.8% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Baltimore Ravens.

The fewest plays in the league have been run by the Ravens this year (just 49.2 per game on average).

Our trusted projections expect Lamar Jackson to attempt 32.1 passes in this contest, on balance: the 6th-fewest among all QBs.

More Lamar Jackson Player Props

Lamar Jackson TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 8

Baltimore Ravens vs Chicago Bears

Lamar Jackson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8