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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+205/-250).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +205 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +205.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Lamar Jackson's 72.4% Adjusted Completion% this year represents an impressive progression in his throwing accuracy over last year's 67.6% rate.
  • With a stellar ratio of 2.25 per game (100th percentile), Lamar Jackson stands as one of the top TD passers in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 53.8% of their downs: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 8th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 46.5% red zone run rate.
  • At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Baltimore Ravens.
  • This week, Lamar Jackson is predicted by the projection model to wind up with the 5th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 32.0.
  • Lamar Jackson isn't afraid to run the ball himself near the goal line, accounting for 30.0% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year (95th percentile when it comes to QBs).

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