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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+250/-260).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -245 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -260.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals defense has allowed the 2nd-most passing touchdowns in the league: 2.15 per game this year.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's LB corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 49.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Ravens to be the 7th-most run-focused team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 47.6% red zone run rate.
  • The Ravens offense has played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 30.08 seconds per play.
  • Our trusted projections expect Lamar Jackson to attempt 30.4 passes in this game, on average: the 4th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

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