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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+315/-360).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -415 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -360.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • Lamar Jackson has been one of the top TD throwers in football this year, averaging a remarkable 1.50 per game while ranking in the 79th percentile.
  • This year, the poor Pittsburgh Steelers defense has allowed a monstrous 73.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-biggest rate in the league.
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the 8th-fewest touchdowns in the NFL (0.75 per game) vs. the Steelers defense this year.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Pittsburgh's group of DEs has been great this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
  • The model projects the Ravens as the 4th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the 5th-most run-oriented team in football in the red zone (48.4% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Baltimore Ravens.
  • At a massive 30.21 seconds per snap, the Ravens offense comes in as the 3rd-slowest paced in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year.
  • In this contest, Lamar Jackson is anticipated by the model to have the 4th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 31.1.

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