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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+260/-280).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -305 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -280.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see 129.7 total plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
  • With a remarkable ratio of 1.67 per game (86th percentile), Lamar Jackson stands among the best touchdown passers in football this year.
  • This year, the poor Bengals defense has been torched for a whopping 2.27 passing TDs per game to opposing quarterbacks: the largest rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Ravens as the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the 5th-most run-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 48.5% red zone run rate.
  • The 2nd-fewest plays in football have been called by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a measly 52.0 per game on average).
  • In this week's game, Lamar Jackson is forecasted by our trusted projection set to total the fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 30.6.

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