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Lamar Jackson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+260/-300).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +270 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +260.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the model to run 66.4 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.Lamar Jackson's 72.6% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a noteworthy boost in his throwing accuracy over last year's 67.6% rate.With a terrific ratio of 2.00 per game (98th percentile), Lamar Jackson has been as one of the top TD throwers in the league this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.Right now, the 5th-most run-centric offense in football near the goal line (47.7% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Baltimore Ravens.The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Ravens this year (a lowly 50.1 per game on average).Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 28.6 per game) this year.Making up 22.2% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year (95th percentile among QBs), Lamar Jackson's mobility marks him as a dangerous weapon with his legs near the end zone.
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