My Account Log Out

reorder

Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 3

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions

Lamar Jackson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-161/+157).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -192 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +157.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may decline.

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.8 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.

Lamar Jackson has been among the best touchdown throwers in football since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 2.47 per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.

The leading projections forecast the Ravens to be the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Ravens to be the least pass-heavy team in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 53.2% red zone pass rate.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Ravens have run the fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.3 plays per game.

More Lamar Jackson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™