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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 2

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

Lamar Jackson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Lamar Jackson has been one of the most accurate passers in the league since the start of last season with a remarkable 67.8% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 75th percentile.

Lamar Jackson has been one of the top TD passers in football since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 2.39 per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Ravens, who are a huge favorite by 12.5 points.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 47.3% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

The projections expect the Ravens to be the 4th-least pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 50.2% red zone pass rate.

The Ravens have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.8 plays per game.

The projections expect Lamar Jackson to throw 28.8 passes in this week's game, on average: the 2nd-fewest among all quarterbacks.

More Lamar Jackson Player Props

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