My Account Log Out
 
 
Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This year, the porous Bengals defense has yielded a monstrous 72.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 10th-biggest rate in the NFL.
  • The Bengals defense has allowed the 2nd-most passing touchdowns in the league: 2.15 per game this year.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's LB corps has been very bad this year, grading out as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 49.7% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Ravens to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 52.4% red zone pass rate.
  • The Ravens offense has played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 30.08 seconds per play.
  • Our trusted projections expect Lamar Jackson to attempt 30.2 passes in this game, on average: the 4th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™