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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-238/+181).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -202 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -238.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see 130.5 total plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week.
  • Lamar Jackson checks in as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the league this year with a stellar 68.5% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 79th percentile.
  • With a remarkable ratio of 1.88 per game (92nd percentile), Lamar Jackson stands among the best touchdown passers in football this year.
  • This year, the poor Bengals defense has been torched for a whopping 2.40 passing TDs per game to opposing quarterbacks: the largest rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a giant 7-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Ravens as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 7th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL in the red zone (52.1% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Ravens.
  • The 2nd-fewest plays in football have been called by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a measly 47.1 per game on average).
  • In this week's game, Lamar Jackson is forecasted by our trusted projection set to total the 5th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 31.6.

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