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Lamar Jackson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

Lamar Jackson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-192/+150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -192.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

With a fantastic 68.5% Adjusted Completion% (79th percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson stands among the most accurate quarterbacks in the league.

With a terrific ratio of 1.88 per game (92nd percentile), Lamar Jackson ranks as one of the best TD passers in football this year.

The New York Jets defense has been gouged for the 7th-most passing TDs in the NFL: 1.80 per game this year.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New York's LB corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 9th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 14-point favorite in this week's contest.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The predictive model expects the Ravens to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 51.7% red zone pass rate.

The Baltimore Ravens have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.

The model projects Lamar Jackson to throw 30.1 passes in this game, on average: the 2nd-fewest among all quarterbacks.

More Lamar Jackson Player Props

Lamar Jackson TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

Lamar Jackson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 12