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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-141/+110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the model to run 67.0 total plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Lamar Jackson's 72.6% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a noteworthy boost in his throwing accuracy over last year's 67.6% rate.
  • With a terrific ratio of 2.33 per game (100th percentile), Lamar Jackson has been as one of the top TD throwers in the league this year.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Minnesota's collection of CBs has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 9th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Ravens to pass on 54.4% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the 6th-least pass-centric team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 52.4% red zone pass rate.
  • The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Ravens this year (a lowly 50.1 per game on average).
  • In tallying a measly 20.1 pass attempts per game this year, Lamar Jackson stands among the bottom QBs in the NFL (12th percentile) for this stat.

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