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Lamar Jackson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -195 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the model to run 66.4 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Lamar Jackson's 72.6% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a noteworthy boost in his throwing accuracy over last year's 67.6% rate.

With a terrific ratio of 2.00 per game (98th percentile), Lamar Jackson has been as one of the top TD throwers in the league this year.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Minnesota's collection of CBs has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 9th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the 5th-least pass-centric team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 52.3% red zone pass rate.

The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Ravens this year (a lowly 50.1 per game on average).

In tallying a measly 17.3 pass attempts per game this year, Lamar Jackson stands among the bottom QBs in the NFL (15th percentile) for this stat.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 28.6 per game) this year.

More Lamar Jackson Player Props

Lamar Jackson TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 10

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 10