My Account Log Out

reorder

Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Lamar Jackson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With an exceptional 68.6% Adjusted Completion% (76th percentile) this year, Lamar Jackson stands among the most accurate QBs in the NFL.

Lamar Jackson has been one of the top touchdown throwers in football this year, averaging a stellar 2.43 per game while ranking in the 97th percentile.

The Steelers cornerbacks profile as the worst CB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

At the moment, the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (52.0% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Ravens.

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.52 seconds per play.

Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.

More Lamar Jackson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™