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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to run on 46.3% of their downs: the 4th-highest clip on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast Lamar Jackson to earn 8.6 rush attempts in this game, on average: the 3rd-most among all QBs.

The leading projections forecast Lamar Jackson to be a much bigger part of his offense's ground game in this game (29.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (22.2% in games he has played).

Lamar Jackson's running effectiveness (7.52 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (92nd percentile among QBs).

Lamar Jackson has been one of the top quarterbacks in the league at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging a fantastic 3.35 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 88th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Baltimore Ravens.

Lamar Jackson has run for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (28.0) this season than he did last season (53.0).

The Chiefs defense has had the 5th-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, surrendering just 4.13 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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