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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-107/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 47.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Ravens, who are a huge favorite by 12.5 points.

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens as the most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 52.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The model projects Lamar Jackson to notch 9.2 rush attempts in this game, on average: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.

Lamar Jackson has generated 54.0 adjusted rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the league when it comes to quarterbacks (98th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.8 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Lamar Jackson has been a much smaller part of his team's ground game this year (20.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (26.1%).

The Cleveland Browns defensive ends profile as the 2nd-best collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

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