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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-110/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to run on 50.3% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest clip on the slate this week.
  • The model projects Lamar Jackson to garner 6.7 carries in this contest, on average: the 3rd-most out of all QBs.
  • With an excellent rate of 2.01 yards-after-contact (76th percentile), Lamar Jackson has been among the best running quarterbacks in football this year.
  • Opposing offenses have run for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (158 per game) versus the Bengals defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens offense has played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 30.08 seconds per play.
  • Lamar Jackson has been a much smaller piece of his team's run game this season (20.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (26.1%).
  • Lamar Jackson's 28.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year conveys a remarkable decline in his running skills over last year's 53.0 figure.
  • Lamar Jackson's 6.01 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season indicates a noteworthy reduction in his running proficiency over last season's 7.09 figure.

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