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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-112/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Ravens as the most run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 50.0% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see 129.7 total plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect Lamar Jackson to accumulate 7.1 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 3rd-most out of all QBs.
  • Lamar Jackson comes in as one of the top QBs in the league at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a stellar 2.41 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 84th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 2nd-fewest plays in football have been called by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a measly 52.0 per game on average).
  • Lamar Jackson has been much less involved in his team's ground game this year (20.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (26.1%).
  • Lamar Jackson's 27.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year shows a material decline in his running proficiency over last year's 53.0 rate.
  • Lamar Jackson's 6.27 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season indicates a significant decline in his rushing skills over last season's 7.09 mark.

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