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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-111/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme running game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 14-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Ravens to run on 51.1% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects Lamar Jackson to garner 7.2 carries in this game, on average: the 2nd-most among all quarterbacks.
  • Lamar Jackson's ground effectiveness (6.67 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (82nd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.
  • Lamar Jackson has been a much smaller piece of his team's ground game this year (20.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (26.1%).
  • Lamar Jackson has run for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (28.0) this year than he did last year (53.0).

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