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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to run on 46.5% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect Lamar Jackson to accrue 8.0 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance: the 3rd-most out of all QBs.

Lamar Jackson isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, accounting for 25.9% of his team's run game usage last year, placing him in the 98th percentile among QBs.

Lamar Jackson has averaged 53.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the largest marks in the NFL when it comes to quarterbacks (98th percentile).

Lamar Jackson's rushing efficiency (7.09 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league last year (84th percentile when it comes to QBs).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Ravens offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.49 seconds per play.

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