Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills · Week 4, 2024

Updated Sep 30, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 57.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A running game script is indicated by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite this week.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to run on 51.5% of their plays: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.
In this contest, Lamar Jackson is forecasted by the predictive model to notch the most carries out of all QBs with 10.2.
Lamar Jackson isn't afraid to run the ball himself, making up 34.4% of his team's rushing play calls this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among quarterbacks.
Lamar Jackson has generated 57.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the NFL among quarterbacks (100th percentile).

Favors Under

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to see just 123.0 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.

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