Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 20, 2024

Updated Jan 19, 2025 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Ravens to be the 2nd-most run-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 45.4% run rate.
The model projects this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
In registering a staggering 7.8 rush attempts per game this year, Lamar Jackson slots in among the top QBs in the league (95th percentile) as it relates to running utilization.
Comprising 26.4% of his offense's rush attempts this year (98th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Lamar Jackson's mobility makes him a dangerous weapon with his legs.
Lamar Jackson has grinded out 55.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest marks in the league among quarterbacks (100th percentile).

Favors Under

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