Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 15, 2024

Updated Dec 15, 2024 8:47 PM EST

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-136/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 16.5-point advantage, the Ravens are heavily favored this week, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Ravens to run on 55.7% of their downs: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by our trusted projection set to call 65.5 total plays in this contest: the 10th-highest number among all teams this week.
In this game, Lamar Jackson is expected by the projection model to total the 3rd-most carries out of all QBs with 9.1.
Comprising 27.1% of his offense's rush attempts this year (100th percentile among quarterbacks), Lamar Jackson's mobility marks him as a serious weapon on the ground.

Favors Under

The New York Giants defensive tackles profile as the best unit in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

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