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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 222.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 224.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 222.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Lamar Jackson's 72.4% Adjusted Completion% this year represents an impressive progression in his throwing accuracy over last year's 67.6% rate.

Lamar Jackson ranks as one of the best per-play quarterbacks in football this year, averaging a stellar 9.08 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 100th percentile.

Since the start of last season, the shaky Chiefs defense has been torched for the 7th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing squads: a whopping 4.64 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 53.8% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Baltimore Ravens.

This week, Lamar Jackson is predicted by the projection model to wind up with the 4th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 32.0.

Lamar Jackson has thrown for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (170.0) this season than he did last season (243.0).

Since the start of last season, the stout Chiefs defense has given up a puny 211.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 9th-best in the league.

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